Africa landscape

Publications & reports

Publication list

Transmission reduction, health benefits, and upper-bound costs of interventions to improve retention on antiretroviral therapy: a combined analysis of three mathematical models.

Anna Bershteyn, Lise Jamieson, Hae-Young Kim, Ingrida Platais, Masabho P. Milali, Edinah Mudimu, Debra ten Brink, Rowan Martin-Hughes, Sherrie L. Kelly, Andrew N. Phillips, Loveleen Bansi-Matharu, Valentina Cambiano, Paul Revill, Gesine Meyer-Rath, Brooke E. Nichols.

Lancet Global Health (in press)

Cost-effectiveness of easy-access, risk-informed oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study

HIV Modelling Consortium

Perspectives on the use of modelling and economic analysis to guide HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa

The Modelling to Inform HIV Programmes in sub-Saharan Africa (MIHPSA) Working Group

The effect of HIV programmes in South Africa on national HIV incidence trends, 2000-2019

Leigh F. Johnson, Gesine Meyer-Rath, Rob E. Dorrington, Adrian
Puren, Thapelo Seathlodi, Khangelani Zuma, Ali Feizzadeh.

JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes; DOI: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000002927

Risks and benefits of restarting HIV prevention activities in the midst of on-going COVID-19 epidemics

John Stover ,Sherrie L. Kelly, Edinah Mudimu, Dylan Green, Tyler Smith, Isaac Taramusi, Loveleen Bansi-Matharu, Rowan Martin-Hughes, Andrew N. Phillips, Anna Bershteyn

The potential role of long-acting injectable cabotegravir– rilpivirine in the treatment of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling analysis

Andrew N Phillips, Loveleen Bansi-Matharu, Valentina Cambiano, Peter Ehrenkranz, Celicia Serenata, Francois Venter, Sarah Pett, Charles Flexner, Andreas Jahn, Paul Revill, Geoff P Garnett

Lancet Glob Health 2021; 9: e620–27

Potential effects of disruption to HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa caused by COVID-19: results from multiple mathematical models

Britta Jewell, Edinah Mudimu, John Stover, Debra Ten Brink, Andrew Phillips, Jennifer Smith, Rowan Martin-Hughes, Yu Teng, Robert Glaubius, Severin Guy Mahiane, Loveleen Bansi-Matharu, Isaac Taramusi, Newton Chagoma, Michelle Morrison, Meg Doherty, Kimberly Marsh, Anna Bershteyn, Timothy Hallett, Sherrie Kelly, for the HIV Modelling Consortium

Lancet HIV. 2020 Sep; 7(9): e629–e640.

The impact, cost and cost-effectiveness of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review of modelling contributions and way forward

Kelsey Case, Gabriela Gomez, Timothy Hallett

J Int AIDS Soc. 2019 Sep;22(9):e25390. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25390.

The influence of constraints on the efficient allocation of resources for HIV prevention

Isaac Stopard, Jessica McGillen, Katharina Hauck, Timothy Hallett

AIDS. 2019 Jun 1;33(7):1241-1246. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002158.

The importance of local epidemic conditions in monitoring progress towards HIV epidemic control in Kenya: a modelling study

Sarah‐Jane Anderson, Geoffrey Garnett, Joanne Enstone, Timothy Hallett

J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Nov; 21(11): e25203.

Optimal timing of HIV home-based counselling and testing rounds in Western Kenya

Jack Olney, Jeffrey Eaton, Paula Braitstein, Joseph Hogan, Timothy Hallett

J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Jun;21(6):e25142. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25142.

Targeting the right interventions to the right people and places: the role of geospatial analysis in HIV program planning

Gesine Meyer-Rath, Jessica McGillen, Diego Cuadros, Timothy Hallett, Samir Bhatt, Njeri Wabiri, Frank Tanser, Thomas Rehle

AIDS. 2018 May 15; 32(8): 957–963.

Frontloading HIV financing maximizes the achievable impact of HIV prevention

Sarah‐Jane Anderson, Peter Ghys, Regina Ombam, Timothy Hallett

J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Mar; 21(3): e25087.

National responses to global health targets: exploring policy transfer in the context of the UNAIDS ‘90–90–90’ treatment targets in Ghana and Uganda

Ellen McRobie, Fred Matovu, Aisha Nanyiti, Justice Nonvignon, Daniel Nana Yaw Abankwah, Kelsey Case, Timothy Hallett, Johanna Hanefeld, Lesong Conteh

Health Policy Plan. 2018 Jan; 33(1): 17–33.

Consequences of a changing US strategy in the global HIV investment landscape

Jessica McGillen, Alana Sharp, Brian Honermann, Gregorio Millett, Chris Collins, Timothy Hallett

AIDS. 2017 Nov 28; 31(18): F19–F23.

The Incidence Patterns Model to Estimate the Distribution of New HIV Infections in Sub-Saharan Africa: Development and Validation of a Mathematical Model

Annick Bórquez, Anne Cori, Erica Pufall, Jingo Kasule, Emma Slaymaker, Alison Price, Jocelyn Elmes, Basia Zaba, Amelia Crampin, Joseph Kagaayi, Tom Lutalo, Mark Urassa, Simon Gregson, Timothy Hallett

PLoS Med. 2016 Sep; 13(9): e1002121.