Publications & reports
Transmission reduction, health benefits, and upper-bound costs of interventions to improve retention on antiretroviral therapy: a combined analysis of three mathematical models.
Lancet Global Health (in press)
Cost-effectiveness of easy-access, risk-informed oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study
Perspectives on the use of modelling and economic analysis to guide HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa
The effect of HIV programmes in South Africa on national HIV incidence trends, 2000-2019
JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes; DOI: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000002927
Risks and benefits of restarting HIV prevention activities in the midst of on-going COVID-19 epidemics
The potential role of long-acting injectable cabotegravir– rilpivirine in the treatment of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling analysis
Lancet Glob Health 2021; 9: e620–27
Potential effects of disruption to HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa caused by COVID-19: results from multiple mathematical models
Lancet HIV. 2020 Sep; 7(9): e629–e640.
The impact, cost and cost-effectiveness of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review of modelling contributions and way forward
J Int AIDS Soc. 2019 Sep;22(9):e25390. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25390.
The influence of constraints on the efficient allocation of resources for HIV prevention
AIDS. 2019 Jun 1;33(7):1241-1246. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002158.
The importance of local epidemic conditions in monitoring progress towards HIV epidemic control in Kenya: a modelling study
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Nov; 21(11): e25203.
Optimal timing of HIV home-based counselling and testing rounds in Western Kenya
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Jun;21(6):e25142. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25142.
Targeting the right interventions to the right people and places: the role of geospatial analysis in HIV program planning
AIDS. 2018 May 15; 32(8): 957–963.
Frontloading HIV financing maximizes the achievable impact of HIV prevention
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Mar; 21(3): e25087.
National responses to global health targets: exploring policy transfer in the context of the UNAIDS ‘90–90–90’ treatment targets in Ghana and Uganda
Health Policy Plan. 2018 Jan; 33(1): 17–33.
Consequences of a changing US strategy in the global HIV investment landscape
AIDS. 2017 Nov 28; 31(18): F19–F23.
The Incidence Patterns Model to Estimate the Distribution of New HIV Infections in Sub-Saharan Africa: Development and Validation of a Mathematical Model
PLoS Med. 2016 Sep; 13(9): e1002121.