Publications & reports
Publication list
A quantitative assessment of the consistency of projections from five mathematical models of the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a model comparison study
BMC Public Health (2023)
Potential cost-effectiveness of community availability of tenofovir, lamivudine, and dolutegravir for HIV prevention and treatment in east, central, southern, and west Africa: a modelling analysis
Lancet Global Health 2023
An agent‑based model of binge drinking, inequitable gender norms and their contribution to HIV transmission, with application to South Africa
BMC Infectious Diseases 2023
Predicted effects of introduction of long-acting injectable cabotegravir pre-exposure prophylaxis in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study
Lancet HIV 2023
Cost-effectiveness of voluntary medical male circumcision for HIV prevention across sub-Saharan Africa: results from five independent models
Lancet Global Health 2022
Transmission reduction, health benefits, and upper-bound costs of interventions to improve retention on antiretroviral therapy: a combined analysis of three mathematical models.
Lancet Global Health 2022
Cost-effectiveness of easy-access, risk-informed oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study
Lancet HIV 2022
Perspectives on the use of modelling and economic analysis to guide HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa
Lancet HIV 2022
The effect of HIV programmes in South Africa on national HIV incidence trends, 2000-2019
JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes; DOI: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000002927
Risks and benefits of restarting HIV prevention activities in the midst of on-going COVID-19 epidemics
PLoS One 2021
The potential role of long-acting injectable cabotegravir– rilpivirine in the treatment of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling analysis
Lancet Global Health 2021; 9: e620–27
Modelled evaluation of modfications in viral load monitoring in the context of sub-Saharan Africa: modelling to inform WHO guidelines
Potential effects of disruption to HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa caused by COVID-19: results from multiple mathematical models
Lancet HIV 2020
The impact, cost and cost-effectiveness of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review of modelling contributions and way forward
J Int AIDS Soc. 2019 Sep;22(9):e25390. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25390.
The influence of constraints on the efficient allocation of resources for HIV prevention
AIDS. 2019 Jun 1;33(7):1241-1246. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002158.
The importance of local epidemic conditions in monitoring progress towards HIV epidemic control in Kenya: a modelling study
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Nov; 21(11): e25203.
Optimal timing of HIV home-based counselling and testing rounds in Western Kenya
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Jun;21(6):e25142. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25142.
Targeting the right interventions to the right people and places: the role of geospatial analysis in HIV program planning
AIDS. 2018 May 15; 32(8): 957–963.
Frontloading HIV financing maximizes the achievable impact of HIV prevention
J Int AIDS Soc. 2018 Mar; 21(3): e25087.
National responses to global health targets: exploring policy transfer in the context of the UNAIDS ‘90–90–90’ treatment targets in Ghana and Uganda
Health Policy Plan. 2018 Jan; 33(1): 17–33.